My academic research is in the area Political Economy, Development Economics and Conflict Studies. Most of my work is applied work which uses quantitative data to analyze questions relevant for policy making. Below is a list of my research which has been published in peer-reviewed articles.

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  • Research
  • Policy Reports

2020 - Forecasting and Nowcasting Political Risk Around the World

Banco de España / joint with Christopher Rauh
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2019 - ¿El desempleo daña la salud mental?

Observatori la Caixa / joint with Lidia Farre and Francesco Fasani. Special thanks to Michele Catanzaro.
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2019 - Quality of Institutions and Structural Transformation

UN/ECA / joint with Zoubir Benhamouche, Bruno Conte Leite and Thiemo Fetzer
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2018 - Can Power-sharing Foster Peace? Evidence From Northern Ireland

Economic Policy, 33(95), pp. 447–484. / joint with Dominic Rohner
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2018 - Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text

American Political Science Review, 112(2), pp. 358-375. / joint with Christopher Rauh
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2018 - Feeling Useless: the Effect of Unemployment on Mental Health in the Great Recession

IZA Journal of Labour Economics, 7(8). / joint with Lídia Farré and Francesco Fasani
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2018 - Predation, Protection and Productivity: A Firm-Level Perspective

American Economic Journal: Macro, 10(2), pp. 184-221. / joint with Tim Besley
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2018 - Institutions, Volatility and Investment

Journal of the European Economic Association, 16(3), pp. 604-649. / joint with Timothy Besley
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2017 - Recovery from Conflict: Lessons of Success

World Bank / joint with Lavinia Piemontese and Augustin Tapsoba
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2017 - How Much Is Prevention Worth?

UN/World Bank / ---
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2015 - Primaries: The Unifying Force

Public Choice, 163(2), pp. 289-305. / joint with Rafael Hortala-Vallve
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2015 - Insulation or Patronage: Political Institutions and Bureaucratic Efficiency

B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy. 15(3), pp. 961-996. / ---
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2015 - The Welfare Cost of Lawlessness: Evidence from Somali Piracy

Journal of the European Economic Association, 13(2), pp. 203–239 / joint with Tim Besley and Thiemo Fetzer
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2015 - Cultural Leaders and the Clash of Civilizations

Journal of Conflict Resolution, 59(3), pp. 367-400 / joint with Esther Hauk
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2012 - Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery: Comment

American Economic Review, 102, 7, pp. 3774-77. / ---
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2012 - Estimating the Peace Dividend: The Impact of Violence on House Prices in Northern Ireland

American Economic Review, 102 (2): 810-33. / joint with Tim Besley
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2011 - Thanks for Nothing? Not-for-Profits, Labor Donations, and Motivated Agents

Journal of Public Economics, 95, pp. 94-105. / joint with Maitreesh Ghatak
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